Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.324993 0.378825 0.438969 0.511183 0.595597 0.691228 0.807903
2025-01-19 0.239621 0.310035 0.397404 0.513970 0.665750 0.857156 1.117636
2025-01-26 0.203434 0.282746 0.388510 0.540273 0.753223 1.042560 1.467570
2025-02-02 0.178463 0.262903 0.382306 0.564139 0.835401 1.227249 1.840268
2025-02-09 0.157787 0.244389 0.373201 0.579718 0.904601 1.399563 2.217611
2025-02-16 0.139318 0.225602 0.359841 0.585155 0.956820 1.550675 2.581759
2025-02-23 0.122663 0.206800 0.343139 0.581711 0.992602 1.678271 2.923641
2025-03-02 0.106559 0.186391 0.320668 0.564781 1.002219 1.761951 3.200409
2025-03-09 0.098690 0.178782 0.318362 0.581532 1.071325 1.955142 3.696603
2025-03-16 0.089734 0.167948 0.308836 0.583663 1.113586 2.104671 4.131920
2025-03-23 0.083217 0.160661 0.304621 0.594708 1.173299 2.293112 4.667308
2025-03-30 0.074785 0.148625 0.289980 0.583594 1.188075 2.396188 5.045378
2025-04-06 0.067788 0.138687 0.278475 0.577827 1.214085 2.527532 5.507348
2025-04-13 0.062511 0.131583 0.271761 0.581080 1.259458 2.705200 6.097085
2025-04-20 0.060335 0.130612 0.277360 0.610901 1.365435 3.025027 7.050416
2025-04-27 0.058035 0.129062 0.281494 0.637966 1.468836 3.352827 8.071954
2025-05-04 0.055129 0.125796 0.281482 0.655634 1.553068 3.648373 9.061824
2025-05-11 0.051616 0.120708 0.276786 0.661800 1.610993 3.890165 9.956396
2025-05-18 0.047745 0.114311 0.268330 0.657895 1.643944 4.076266 10.738046
2025-05-25 0.043284 0.105969 0.254349 0.638694 1.636248 4.160965 11.267330
2025-06-01 0.041555 0.104084 0.255581 0.657692 1.728552 4.511196 12.566662
2025-06-08 0.039016 0.099869 0.250607 0.660109 1.777734 4.755899 13.612012
2025-06-15 0.037222 0.097338 0.249543 0.672635 1.855726 5.087899 14.958781